Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.328399 0.381469 0.437444 0.500603 0.569612 0.642460 0.724907
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.255795 0.328467 0.409999 0.507146 0.618656 0.741623 0.886440
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.194353 0.276473 0.374404 0.497183 0.644445 0.813002 1.018107
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.159485 0.249592 0.363132 0.511839 0.696756 0.914761 1.186795
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.123983 0.215479 0.337726 0.505076 0.720629 0.981942 1.315655
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.106657 0.202759 0.337547 0.528647 0.781510 1.094494 1.501003
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.086086 0.181425 0.322570 0.530320 0.812989 1.170306 1.642244
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.069735 0.163345 0.309553 0.532537 0.843825 1.244834 1.782396
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.058983 0.152342 0.305313 0.545850 0.888929 1.337805 1.946791
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.050990 0.144559 0.304813 0.563762 0.940076 1.439028 2.122854
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044109 0.137398 0.304254 0.580926 0.990038 1.539113 2.298571
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035172 0.123890 0.291476 0.578215 1.011045 1.600268 2.423950
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028911 0.114812 0.285600 0.586212 1.048299 1.685158 2.583572
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021979 0.101928 0.271258 0.579483 1.063349 1.739665 2.703587
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015298 0.086816 0.250506 0.560398 1.058657 1.766109 2.785890
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012409 0.081430 0.247938 0.571310 1.099185 1.856066 2.954755
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008672 0.071156 0.233814 0.561090 1.106436 1.898685 3.059418
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007539 0.069910 0.238771 0.584561 1.166566 2.017428 3.269570
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005507 0.063542 0.231429 0.585265 1.190489 2.084232 3.408725
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.003957 0.057963 0.224991 0.586981 1.215706 2.152954 3.551007
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.003104 0.055292 0.225115 0.600791 1.260551 2.250724 3.734585
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002533 0.053792 0.227909 0.619644 1.313816 2.361314 3.936928
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002035 0.052239 0.230340 0.637779 1.366142 2.471048 4.138990